www.boston.com/sports/basketball/articles/2008/04/06/the_races_are_too_close_to_call?mode=PFThe races are too close to call
Playoff spots, awards go right to the finish
By Peter May, Globe Staff | April 6, 2008
Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have nothing on the NBA. You think the Democratic nominating process is convoluted and will take forever to solve? Try making sense of the Western Conference, some of the Eastern Conference, and a host of postseason awards that are still up in the air.
For the NBA, the Pennsylvania primary comes April 16. That is the last day of the regular season, when, (we think) everything will be resolved. But right now it's utter madness in the West and, to a lesser extent, the East, where three teams are trying like the dickens not to finish seventh (where Detroit awaits) or fifth (where Cleveland awaits).
The race in the West continues to amaze. Heading into the first weekend of April, nine teams were at least 15 games over . 500 - and no one had mathematically clinched a playoff berth! That's because ninth-place Golden State (for now) was only 7 1/2 games behind first place (for now) New Orleans. The Rockets, winners of 22 straight games, were lodged in sixth place.
It was fun to listen to Jamal Mashburn and Jalen Rose on ESPN the other night talk about potential Western Conference finalists. They basically threw up their hands. How could one predict a Phoenix-San Antonio final when the teams might meet in the first round? Or one of them (unlikely) might not make it at all?
"It's fun, it's competitive," said the Mavericks' Jason Kidd, whose team finally beat a club with a winning record (the Warriors) since he was traded to Dallas over All-Star weekend. (It certainly didn't hurt that Dirk Nowitzki returned after missing four games with a high ankle sprain.)
"As a professional, you want to be competitive, and I got everything that I want. It's nothing but competitive each night and we are fighting for our lives just like everybody else is, first seed to the eighth or even the ninth and 10th."
(Um, Jason, Nos. 9 and 10 are no good.)
Trying to make sense of the West race is like trying to make sense of the superdelegates for the Democrats. There actually are two races in one, or that is how it appears now. There's the three-way race for the seventh and eighth spots, which means either the Mavs, Nuggets, or Warriors will wind up with the unwanted designation of being the Best Team To Not Make the Playoffs.
Then there's the race among the top five teams for positioning, seeding, divisional titles, etc. The Lakers and Suns are fighting it out for the Pacific crown. The Spurs, Hornets, and Rockets are fighting for the Southwest crown. Utah entered the weekend 3 1/2 games ahead of Denver in the Northwest with six to play. Think that's safe?
In the East, there are three teams - Washington, Toronto, and surprising Philadelphia - competing for spots 5, 6, and 7. Atlanta appears to have nailed down the No. 8 spot - the Hawks had a four-game lead in the loss column over Indiana and New Jersey heading into the weekend. That means one and done against Boston, but it also means a team is going to end the league's longest playoff drought for the second straight season. (Golden State did it last year.) But the desirable spot in the East is No. 6, which means a first-round date with Orlando, somehow deemed less formidable than No. 4 Cleveland, despite having six fewer losses. Hey, LeBron is LeBron.
The Sixers have had a nice run since the All-Star break and could be deemed the Team No One Wants to Play. Then again, they're awfully young. Washington and Cleveland could be on track to have a repeat of last year. The difference this time is that Washington may be healthy, or close to it, instead of missing Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler.
The individual awards also promise to be among the most hotly contested in years. Who's your MVP? Any one of four guys could get it, unless Shaq has a vote; then we include Amare Stoudemire (who, we admit, is playing as well as anyone in the league since Shaq arrived in Phoenix). Coach of the Year? Same thing. Does Kevin Durant still have a lock on Rookie of the Year, even as the Rockets exploded when Luis Scola was inserted as a starter?
Voters have until the last day of the season to make their choices. It may take that long for everything to sort itself out, meaning April looms to be the most exciting month the NBA has seen in some time.
Reappearing act by Wizard
Agent Zero has, for him anyway, made a reasonably understated reentry to the NBA.
Gilbert Arenas decided to play last Wednesday against Milwaukee, his first game since missing 66 following left knee surgery, which apparently was a well-kept secret to everyone but Arenas.
He stayed in the locker room as the game began, then jogged out to the bench midway through the first quarter. He then checked into the game, got the obligatory standing O, and proceeded to hit his first four shots.
Afterward, Wizards coach Eddie Jordan said he hadn't been told of Arenas's availability.
"I found out," Jordan said. "Let's say it wasn't normal, proper channels."
Arenas then came off the bench Friday night against Miami and added 13 points as the Wizards clinched their fourth straight playoff appearance, something that had last happened in the 1980s.
It will be interesting to see how the Wizards utilize Arenas the rest of the way. They've become a much better defensive team this season. They had two players not named Arenas on the All-Star team (Caron Butler, Antawn Jamison). And, for now, he's on a 20- to 25-minute leash.
But there's no denying his explosive offense and, well, there's always the Gilbertisms that flow freely from his mouth without an edit button.
We may have to wait a while for some of those, however.
Arenas is not talking to reporters - which has to be the biggest sacrifice he's made in some time - and his last blog entry on nba.com was March 25, when he talked about being unable to work out at the Verizon Center because the NCAA Tournament was being played and Duke was "getting smashed on."
Under Karl, Nuggets seem to spring into action in April
The Denver Nuggets resumed action last night against the Kings at the Pepsi Center. The team had not played since last Tuesday, which, coach George Karl noted, was a welcome break amid all the craziness that's become the way of life in the wild West.
"I am tired of being stressed, tired, and worried," Karl said before the Nuggets took their brief respite.
Actually, things look promising for Karl, since Denver appears to be on its spring surge again.
In Karl's first season with the Nuggets, he won 32 of 40 games after coming aboard in midseason (2004-05) and that included a 10-2 record in April. The run gave Denver a 49-33 record but it also resulted in a first-round matchup with the Spurs. Oh, well.
The following year, the Nuggets had a losing April, but won their division. The reward was a first-round matchup with the Clippers, who, despite being the No. 6 seed, had the better record and home-court advantage. Oh, well.
Last year, the Nuggets went 10-1 in April, but again were rewarded with a first-round date with the Spurs. You already know this story.
Heading into last night's game, Denver had won six of seven and faced a not-so-grueling April, with three of its remaining seven against lottery teams.
"If we win all our home games, that could be the key to making the playoffs," Karl said.
Getting there is one thing. But Denver has yet to get out of the first round under Karl and has been bounced in five games in each of the last three years. Then again, you have to go back to 1994 to find the last time Denver won a playoff series.
The team it beat? Seattle, coached by, you guessed it, George Karl.
Etc.
Bypassing the Bucks
Milwaukee was waiting at the altar in the event the Knicks and former Pacers czar Donnie Walsh couldn't come to an agreement. But Walsh took the job that most everyone figured he was destined to get, and the Bucks are now back to square one. The problem for Milwaukee: Who's out there that makes a lot of sense? Milwaukee has interviewed longtime league exec Rick Sund and also is interested in talking to the Suns' David Griffin, who was on Memphis's short list last year before the Grizz went for Chris Wallace. Mark Warkentien, the titular head of basketball ops in Denver, is a name that's out there, and don't be shocked if former Sixers boss Billy King resurfaces. (Just keep him away from the checkbook.) Walsh, meanwhile, said all the right things about Isiah Thomas, but if he doesn't send Thomas packing, and soon, he's going to have a real credibility problem.
Get out the vote
Someone in the Lakers' marketing department has too much time on his or her hands. It's not uncommon at this time of year to start promoting a certain player for this or that award. (We'll never get over the iPod Nano that Portland sent out to promote Brandon Roy for the All-Star Game; more than 70 went out to coaches and writers.) But the Lakers' campaign for Kobe Bryant for MVP is, well, a campaign. Included in the mailing were three bumper stickers ("Who else? Bryant 08") as well as a large pair of red suspenders with 12 campaign buttons, six on each side.
Minuteman, Millrat . . . MVP
Former University of Massachusetts guard Anthony Anderson was named Most Valuable Player of the recently concluded American Basketball Association season. He is the brother of University of Memphis swingman Antonio Anderson, who hails from Lynn but attended prep school in North Carolina before landing with Coach Cal. Anthony played for the ABA's Manchester Millrats and averaged 23.2 points. For the second straight year, the ABA crown was won by the Vermont Frost Heaves, who, if nothing else, might have the best team nickname in pro sports.
Don't go there
Here's a first-round matchup that at least one team would like to avoid: Golden State-San Antonio. Last Tuesday, the Spurs ripped the Warriors for their 20th straight home win over Golden State, a run that goes back to 1997. (And we always fretted about the Celtics' inability to win in San Antonio. They only play there once a season.) The 20-game home winning streak matches the longest in the league, as Phoenix has beaten Milwaukee 20 straight in the Valley of the Suns. The Bucks' last win in Phoenix came in the old Veterans Coliseum in 1987. Actually, a Phoenix-Milwaukee matchup has been bad for the Bucks wherever the game is played; the Suns swept them this year and have won 30 of the last 34 meetings.
Bobbing and weaving
Rookie Bobcats coach Sam Vincent, who before the season opined that his team had every right to shoot for home court in the playoffs, has suddenly found religion. His job unquestionably on the line, Vincent suggested it wasn't as if he were supposed to win 50 games or anything. Well, no. And managing boss Michael Jordan emerged from his classified undisclosed location to tell the Charlotte Observer, "Looking at what Sam has done, it's a good job. But I won't say he hasn't made mistakes. We'll have to make our considerations at the end of the [season]. I would not say we are in a drastic mode of trying to change our coaching staff or our roster." But here's one of the many disconnects in Charlotte's season: The Bobcats have wins over the Celtics (in Boston) and Lakers (in Los Angeles) as well as home wins over the Cavs, Jazz, Nuggets, Magic, and Warriors. They're on a pace to win 30-32 games, which is where most people figured they'd be after losing Sean May and Adam Morrison for the season.
Clocked in Atlanta
If you're job hunting in the Atlanta area, you might want to check out what are sure to be openings in the Hawks' stat crew. Remember earlier this year, the crew gave Shaquille O'Neal one more foul than he had, so commissioner David Stern ordered the last 51.9 seconds of that Miami-Atlanta game to be replayed, something he had never had to do. (The last such replay was in 1982, two years before Stern took over.) Now, we have another, er, incident: Did the game clock start too early on the final play of last Wednesday's game against the Raptors? With the game tied and a half-second left, Toronto executed a perfect alley-oop pass with T.J. Ford on the receiving end. Ford did not get his hands off the ball in time - that is clear from replays - but the reason, the Raptors contend, is that the game clock started too soon. Toronto hoops boss Bryan Colangelo told the Toronto Star, "The clock clearly started before he touched it. The fact that this happened in Atlanta . . . it's just absolutely inexcusable." No official word yet from north of the border regarding a protest.